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		<title>Shipping Issues</title>
		<link>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/30/shipping-issues/</link>
		<comments>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/30/shipping-issues/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Jan 2012 14:30:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Historical Lookbacks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[My Projects]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Is this really happening? Ok, so now that I want to ship two cars quickly to Abidjan before any import restrictions are put in place it seems Murphy&#8217;s law has stricken: First I get this from the shipping company: Good morning Martin, Due to the strike action in Nigeria over the last while the vessels have [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=hotelivory.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12051637&amp;post=2880&amp;subd=hotelivory&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Is this really happening?</strong></p>
<p>Ok, so now that I want to ship two cars quickly to Abidjan before any import restrictions are put in place it seems Murphy&#8217;s law has stricken:</p>
<p>First I get this from the shipping company:</p>
<blockquote>
<div dir="ltr" align="left">Good morning Martin,</p>
<p>Due to the strike action in Nigeria over the last while the vessels have in turn been delayed coming back to Europe therefore the sailing date will not be the 25.01.2012 as previously scheduled.</p>
<p>The next sailing will be delayed by a couple of weeks. I have not got the confirmed sailing date yet but should have it this week.</p></blockquote>
<p>And then I see this on <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-01-25/container-ships-at-clipper-speed-run-out-of-option-to-stem-losses-freight.html">Bloomberg</a>:</p>
<div dir="ltr" align="left"></div>
<div dir="ltr" align="left"></div>
<blockquote>
<div dir="ltr" align="left"><strong>No Slower Steaming as Container Lines Run Like Clippers: Freight</strong></div>
<div dir="ltr" align="left">Container ships can’t go any slower.</div>
</blockquote>
<div dir="ltr" align="left">
<blockquote><p>Shipping lines are running out of options to stop losses as sailing speeds reach their lower limit, exhausting a solution that helped restore profitability in 2010.</p>
<p>The global container fleet is now cruising near record-low speeds after slowing 11 percent from August when the freight rate market collapsed, according to data compiled by Bloomberg and Lloyd’s Register.</p>
<p>[...]</p>
<p>“Some of these container ships are now so slow that they’re close to the speeds of the old sailing ships. The clippers might actually have been faster.”</p>
<p>Slow-steaming, pioneered by A.P. Moeller-Maersk’s container unit, Maersk Line, helps carriers cut costs when times are tough. By sailing at lower speeds, ships need less fuel and can offset capacity stresses by using more vessels to make up for the longer sailing times.</p>
<p>[...]</p>
<p>Maersk Line says it may be able to bring its speeds down even further. The company cut its average speed to about 17 knots last year from 20 knots in 2008, according to Morten Engelstoft, Maersk Line’s chief operating officer. The company’s whole fleet currently sails at about 16-18 knots, he said.</p>
<p>“There is still some potential for slow-steaming, both for us and probably for the industry,” Engelstoft said in a Jan. 23 interview. “We are looking into the possibility of super slow- steaming. That would be 12-16 knots.”</p>
<p>The 19th-century <a title="Open Web Site" href="http://www.tea.co.uk/page.php?id=97" rel="external">clippers</a>, the fastest ships of their time, transported tea to the U.K. and U.S. from <a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/china/">China</a> and <a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/india/">India</a>, according to the website of the U.K. Tea Council. The ships, which had three or more masts and dozens of sails, could reach a peak average speed of more than 16 knots.</p></blockquote>
<div id="attachment_2881" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://hotelivory.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/clipper-thermopylae_large.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-2881" title="Clipper Thermopylae" src="http://hotelivory.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/clipper-thermopylae_large.jpg?w=500" alt=""   /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Any spare room for two Toyotas?</p></div>
</div>
<p><strong>Inevitable snags</strong></p>
<p>Well, guess doing business is rarely entirely straightforward, and that the real test is how one handles the hurdles and snags that inevitably come up along the way.  In this case I have already changed shipping company to one that isn&#8217;t affected by strikes in Nigeria, so one down.</p>
<p>There is not too much to be done about the speed of container ships, but it only means the cars will arrive a couple of days later to Abidjan and that, hopefully, shouldn&#8217;t matter. The upside is that shipping stuff around the world is going to get cheap for &#8211; it seems &#8211; a good while going forward.</p>
<p>The Baltic Dry Index which tracks worldwide international shipping prices of various dry bulk cargoes has dropped sharply over the last month. It&#8217;s a bit of a bad sign for the world economy and for rubber prices, but it also opens up opportunities.</p>
<div id="attachment_2883" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 510px"><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=BDIY:IND"><img class="size-full wp-image-2883 " title="Baltic Dry Index" src="http://hotelivory.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/baltic-dry-index.jpg?w=500&#038;h=356" alt="" width="500" height="356" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">The Baltic Dry Index for the last 3 months</p></div>
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			<media:title type="html">Clipper Thermopylae</media:title>
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		<title>Avoiding Fraud</title>
		<link>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/28/avoiding-fraud/</link>
		<comments>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/28/avoiding-fraud/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Jan 2012 21:44:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Ivory Coast and Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Business Environment]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Rule #1: Don&#8217;t Lose Money   Rule #2: Don&#8217;t Forget Rule No #1 I think the no 1 reason for small scale  investments in Africa made by people living outside Africa to fail, isn&#8217;t poor infrastructure, political risks or red tape, but dishonesty on the side of the person managing things locally in Africa. I&#8217;ve [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=hotelivory.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12051637&amp;post=2849&amp;subd=hotelivory&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Rule #1: Don&#8217;t Lose Money   Rule #2: Don&#8217;t Forget Rule No #1</strong></p>
<p>I think the no 1 reason for small scale  investments in Africa made by people living outside Africa to fail, isn&#8217;t poor infrastructure, political risks or red tape, but dishonesty on the side of the person managing things locally in Africa.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve heard many stories of people getting ripped off by their partner in Africa. And it isn&#8217;t primarily a story of Africans fooling naive European investors. Most people that I know that invest like me in Africa, are Africans living in Europe, and most of them let family members manage their investments, but even then things can, and do go wrong.  When talking business with Africans in the diaspora, how to avoid your local partner taking your investment for his own benefit is always a major topic, and everybody seem to have stories of (extended) family members being dishonest with them.</p>
<p>I actually tried to tackle the issue of  how this problem can be so prevalent  in one of my first posts called <a href="http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2010/02/23/the-issue-of-trust/">The Issue of Trust</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Some specific advice</strong></p>
<p>Regarding how to avoid fraud, here are a few ideas:</p>
<ul>
<li>Don&#8217;t entrust all your investments to a single person. It&#8217;s not only about not having all eggs in the same basket. With a smaller size of the investment the risk/reward equation for dishonesty gets better.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Go to Africa often and check on your investments. Many Africans living abroad don&#8217;t go back for decades &#8211; and that makes the risk of behaving badly diminish for the local partner.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Minimize envy &#8211; this is what Africans in the diaspora have told me about handling family members &#8211;  don&#8217;t let them know about all your investments, only the ones they manage, and pay them decently. Seeing that your half-brother living in Europe is very successful while you are not, and handling his money, makes for a dangerous combination.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Divide up the investment in small amounts.  One big amount increases the temptation for dishonesty.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Require the local partner to transfer profits to you frequently. I have an Ivorian bank account where those that manage my investments can deposit cash, and I can check on the account through online banking.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Work with a law firm that can act directly on the ground if there is a problem. A big part of the fraud problem are weak legal systems across Africa combined with norms that include some toleration of white collar crime. With the new government in the Ivory Coast my trust in the Ivorian legal system has improved, and think there is a similar effect on ordinary Ivorians.  People know that laws matter more than before, and if you are dealing with someone who has a law firm working for them, being dishonest is taking a great risk.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Have contracts and keep things in the formal sector.  Otherwise the benefits of there being a reasonably functioning legal system aren&#8217;t very big. That&#8217;s given that there is a reasonably functioning legal system of course &#8211; in some places one might be better off in the informal sector.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Conduct very careful selection of partners where honesty and integrity is a key criteria. Having known someone for a long time so a track record is built up  is the best way I know to judge a man&#8217;s (or woman&#8217;s) integrity. Apparently there are <a href="http://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/evolved-primate/201003/measuring-faces-trustworthiness-and-facial-features">some studies</a> showing that the width of a man&#8217;s face matters for trustworthiness, which is interesting but I&#8217;m not sure if it&#8217;s very useful.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Choose partners that already have an income or some wealth. Incentives to be fraudulent for someone who has nothing are much stronger than for other people.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>As Ronald Reagan said: &#8220;Trust but verify&#8221;.  I have someone who independently checks &#8211; in a friendly way &#8211; on the work of those who manages the investments.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Yes, it has happened to me</strong></p>
<p>Since I started investing in the Ivory Coast I have been the victim of fraud twice, in both cases due to dishonest workers on the Cocody house. One builder that stole building material, and this year a carpenter that <a href="http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2011/12/17/being-real-about-setbacks/">took an advance but didn&#8217;t do any work</a>.  Fortunately none of it had any major impact on investments, but it&#8217;s two good reminders to be careful.</p>
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		<title>Rubber Trees</title>
		<link>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/28/rubber-trees/</link>
		<comments>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/28/rubber-trees/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Jan 2012 11:25:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Macroeconomics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Business Environment]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Waiting for trees to grow The last few times I&#8217;ve been in the Ivory Coast I&#8217;ve heard a lot of talk of hevea or rubber tree plantations.  Since early 2000s, among well-off Ivorians there seems to be a trend to invest in rubber trees. I considered joining in, but never did for the following reasons: [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=hotelivory.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12051637&amp;post=2829&amp;subd=hotelivory&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Waiting for trees to grow</strong></p>
<p>The last few times I&#8217;ve been in the Ivory Coast I&#8217;ve heard a lot of talk of hevea or rubber tree plantations.  Since early 2000s, among well-off Ivorians there seems to be a trend to invest in rubber trees. I considered joining in, but never did for the following reasons:</p>
<ul>
<li>It takes up to 7 years from planting a tree until one can start getting rubber from it.  While I like long term thinking and investing, I figured I would be in a better position after seven years investing, and re-investing profits from something else like taxis or real estate.</li>
<li>I thought synthetic rubber would squeeze out the use of natural rubber over time.</li>
<li>I like to invest in something linked to the growth of the Ivorian economy &#8211; on which I&#8217;m quite<a href="https://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2011/08/25/the-macro-case-for-the-ivory-coast/"> bullish</a>. Selling stuff to the growing African middle class seems to be the right place to be.  Global demand for rubber has nothing to do with the Ivory Coast, and all to do with the developed world&#8217;s and China&#8217;s industrial demand for it.</li>
<li>Ivory Coast&#8217;s and Africa&#8217;s exports are already dominated by raw materials. It would feel better to do something with a little more value added.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>&#8220;I sure as hell wouldn&#8217;t want to be in a 747 about to land on synthetic tires&#8221;</strong></p>
<p>However, I&#8217;ve read a bit about natural rubber and started to re-think some of the above.</p>
<p>Apparently there are plenty of uses where natural rubber is better suited than synthetic rubber &#8211; and it&#8217;s not looking like it will change.  In fact, according to <a href="http://www.rubber-foundation.org/docu/2575natural.pdf">www.rubber-foundation.org</a>, the share of natural rubber of total world rubber production has gone up from 41.6% 1998 to 46% 2008, and is projected to increase further.</p>
<blockquote><p>Despite the brilliance of industrial chemists, there is still no synthetic able to match natural rubber&#8217;s resistance to fatigue and vibration. Natural rubber still claims more than 40% of the market, a figure that has been slowly rising. Only medical rubber can be steam cleaned in a medical sterilizer, then thrust into a freezer &#8211; and still adhere flexibility to glass and steel. Big airplane and truck tires are almost entirely natural rubber; radial tires use natural rubber in their sidewalls, whereas the earlier bias-ply tires were entirely synthetic. High-tech manufacturers and utilities use high-performance natural rubber hoses, gaskets and O-rings. So do condom manufacturers.<br />
[...]<br />
&#8220;I sure as hell wouldn&#8217;t want to be in a 747 about to land on synthetic tires&#8221; the director of the U.S. National Defense Stockpile Center has said.</p></blockquote>
<p>From the excellent book &#8220;<a href="http://www.amazon.com/1493-Uncovering-World-Columbus-Created/dp/0307265722">1493</a>&#8221; by Charles Mann, part of my post-Christmas reading</p>
<p>As to having to wait 7 years to get any returns, my problem with that was that the initial investment could be better put elsewhere.  Now, I have learned that a typical small scale rubber tree plantation deal in the Ivory Coast doesn&#8217;t have much of an upfront cost. It works like this; a village that owns land but doesn&#8217;t have the funds to cultivate it, allows an investor to plant and maintain rubber trees, and then the profits are typically split 25% to the village and 75% to the investor.  Planting the trees doesn&#8217;t cost much, and the invested funds mainly go to pay the  upkeep during the 7 years, paid monthly.</p>
<div id="attachment_2846" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://hotelivory.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/hevea-cote-divoire.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-2846" title="Hevea Cote d'Ivoire" src="http://hotelivory.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/hevea-cote-divoire.jpg?w=500" alt=""   /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Rubber trees in the Ivory Coast</p></div>
<p>A plantation that has grown for a couple of years can of course be bought or sold, so nobody really has to wait 7 years. However, there are a lot of things that can go wrong in these type of deals, and if I ever invest in a rubber tree plantation, I&#8217;ll probably start from scratch.</p>
<p>My remaining concerns about rubber tree investments still stand though. Natural rubber is a curious product, being agriculturally produced but used industrially.   Demand for it is much more correlated to stuff like iron ore or copper than other agricultural products like wheat, soy-beans or apples.  And here lies a problem, since I have a gloomy outlook on the industrialised world&#8217;s economic prospects and believe China will see a real estate crash. Demand from China has been a big factor in driving up industrial commodity prices over the last decade and I don&#8217;t think this demand is sustainable.</p>
<p>Also, the 7 year lag of rubber, makes long term forecasting and planning important &#8211; and that&#8217;s not always something humans excel in.   I have a feeling a lot of rubber trees are planted when prices are high, thus contributing to reducing prices 7 years later.</p>
<p>It seems like major new plantations were started in Asia in 2006-2007:</p>
<blockquote><p>On the supply front, natural rubber trees were planted in large scale in both 2006 and 2007. Once planted, it takes approximately 6 to 7 years for rubber trees to begin producing sap. Supply is therefore inelastic in the short–term and will be limited until 2013. It is estimated that newly planted acreage of natural rubber trees totals in excess of 1 million hectares. According to the International Rubber Study Group (IRSG), global natural rubber output is expected to total 10.83 mm tons, (up approximately 5% year-over-year). Although helpful in the short-term, long-term supply will not increase markedly until 2013.</p></blockquote>
<p>From <a href="http://www.glovesbyweb.com/general/commodity-prices-of-natural-rubber-synthetic-rubber-and-vinyl">http://www.glovesbyweb.com/general/commodity-prices-of-natural-rubber-synthetic-rubber-and-vinyl</a></p>
<p>So it looks like increased supply could coincide with decreased demand in 2013-2014 &#8211; and it&#8217;s not difficult to see what that would do to natural rubber prices.</p>
<p><strong>The coolness factor</strong></p>
<p>On the other hand 2013-2014 could be a good time to start a plantation, and one never know what will happen. And I got to admit that I would enjoy being able to say that I own a rubber tree plantation.</p>
<p>Rubber trees originally come from the Amazon in Brazil but due to leaf blight plantations in the whole of Latin America don&#8217;t work out too well. Instead, 90% of the world production of natural rubber comes from Asia (and 2% from the Ivory Coast), and if leaf blight were to hit Asia things would change dramatically.</p>
<div id="attachment_2843" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 510px"><a href="http://hotelivory.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/rubber-price-graph.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-2843" title="Rubber price graph" src="http://hotelivory.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/rubber-price-graph.jpg?w=500&#038;h=268" alt="" width="500" height="268" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Natural rubber price since 1981</p></div>
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		<title>Top Guy</title>
		<link>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/22/top-guy/</link>
		<comments>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/22/top-guy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Jan 2012 00:26:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Entrepreneurship]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Business Environment]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Hierarchy I&#8217;ve always found it weird to be dealing with organisations that are highly hierarchical. When ideas or proposals are judged more on the status within the organisation of the person proposing them, than on their own merit, something&#8217;s got to be fundamentally wrong. I guess it&#8217;s near impossible to do away with hierarchy altogether, [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=hotelivory.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12051637&amp;post=2802&amp;subd=hotelivory&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Hierarchy</strong></p>
<p>I&#8217;ve always found it weird to be dealing with organisations that are highly hierarchical. When ideas or proposals are judged more on the status within the organisation of the person proposing them, than on their own merit, something&#8217;s got to be fundamentally wrong. I guess it&#8217;s near impossible to do away with hierarchy altogether, but in any knowledge-based organisation I think it would make sense to de-emphasise hierarchical differences.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s tons of research around these things, but Im going to go with a quote from Stanford Professor Robert Sutton  <a href="http://bobsutton.typepad.com/my_weblog/2012/01/google-a-place-where-it-simply-isnt-efficient-to-act-like-an-asshole-.html">commenting on why Google probably is a worthy No1</a> on Fortune&#8217;s best place to work list:</p>
<blockquote><p>Google does not unduly emphasize status differences among people at different levels or within in the same level.  If you watch how people interact there &#8212; receptionists and executives, young engineers and senior executives, and people from less prestigious versus more prestigious parts of the company &#8212; the more powerful people treat the less powerful people with an unusually large amount of respect, even deference, and the less powerful people don&#8217;t cower or kiss-up nearly as much as I see in most places.   Yes, Googlers are sometimes guilty of being arrogant when it comes to outsiders (although I see signs of modesty creeping in), but I have to give Larry and Serge credit for creating such norms mutual respect from the start and building an organization that appears to have sustained them.</p></blockquote>
<p>Still, despite all advantages of taking it easy with hierarchy, finding organisations that operate in an opposite way of Google is not difficult. Starting in Sweden one doesn&#8217;t need to go very far south to find places where highly hierarchical organisations seems to be the norm &#8211; I&#8217;d put Germany and France in this camp, as well as the Ivory Coast.</p>
<p><strong>The boss is abroad, sorry, we can&#8217;t do anything to help you</strong></p>
<p>One thing I&#8217;ve encountered many times in West Africa in both the public and private sector &#8211; and found equally frustrating each time &#8211; is that you got an organisation where only the top guy can take initiatives and decisions.  Anybody else in the organisation isn&#8217;t authorised to take decisions on even the smallest details so things can get done. So you have to get in contact with the top guy who is often very busy and hard to reach, and sometimes expects you to wait for hours to get an audience.</p>
<p>Here is a story I found in the Ivorian newspaper &#8220;<a href="http://news.abidjan.net/h/423531.html">Le Democrate</a>&#8221; yesterday about importing cars that appears to be a straight forward example of the top guy phenomenon:</p>
<blockquote><p>Le 2GE (Groupement de gestion des entreprises) chargées de confectionner les plaques d’immatriculation et de tatouer les vitres des véhicules automobiles manque de tôles. C’est l’amer constat que les importateurs dénoncent au guichet unique, depuis hier. Pour les usagers cette déconvenue entraîne un blocage du système de fonctionnement du guichet unique. Pis, les importateurs et transitaires dénoncent l’absence d’interlocuteurs capable d’apporter les solutions à leurs problèmes. Et pour cause, le directeur général de cette structure, Niamoutié Kouao est absent de la Côte d’Ivoire depuis un mois. Toute chose qui fait dire aux importateurs que l’Etat gagnerait à mieux définir la convention de concession qui le lie au 2GE, et par ricochet toutes les structures sous la direction de Niamoutié Kouao. Nos tentatives pour avoir la version de la direction sont restées sans suite. Cependant, nos colonnes restent ouvertes pour mieux éclairer l’opinion sur autre affaire.</p></blockquote>
<p>Quick and shortened translation with the help of Google translate:</p>
<blockquote><p>[2GE, the firm that makes the license plates for Ivorian cars has run out of sheet metal. Since yesterday, importers note bitterly that the whole import process has grind to a halt.  Worse, importers and freight forwarders denounce the lack of partners capable of providing solutions to their problems. And for good reason, as the General Manager of 2GE, Niamoutié Kouao has been absent from the Ivory Coast for the last month. Our attempts to get the version of the management were not responded to.]</p></blockquote>
<p>I wonder how deeply entrenched the top guy phenomenon is. Could it possibly start changing if you have succesful companies operating more like Google making a mark on the Ivorian market? How does for example MTN&#8217;s corporate culture look like?</p>
<p><strong>Like a Slow River</strong></p>
<p>Then of course to be successful business-wise in a different culture than your own, you got to adapt.  You could see the top guy phenomenon as a competitive advantage of foreign firms that are aware of it, relative to those that act as if things are the same as on their home market.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;The slow pace of doing business in a country like Nigeria is often a source of much frustration for South Africans. I will tell you one little thing about doing business in Nigeria: time is like a slow river. If you can grasp this mindset and learn to manage it, you will do well in Africa.”</p>
<p><em>–  Nissi Ekpott, Nigerian entrepreneur based in South Africa, from the altogether interesting article <a href="http://www.howwemadeitinafrica.com/business-culture-in-sa-different-than-in-rest-of-continent-says-entrepreneur/14419/">Business culture in SA different than in rest of continent, says entrepreneur</a> in <a href="http://www.howwemadeitinafrica.com">How We Made It in Africa</a></em></p></blockquote>
<p>Guess this Ekpott guy is right, there are frustrations but you got to live with them &#8211; almost embrace them &#8211; and it&#8217;s worth it as the opportunities are far greater than the frustrations.</p>
<p>Along the same line:</p>
<blockquote><p>“This is the place to be . . . with all its challenges. Let’s go and work hard. I know there are hurdles and [conditions in Africa] are not every day the way we would like it to be, but look through that [and] see the opportunities because they are ample.”</p>
<p>– <em>Johan van Deventer, MD, Freshmark (South Africa)</em></p></blockquote>
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		<title>A Gamble</title>
		<link>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/21/a-gamble/</link>
		<comments>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/21/a-gamble/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Jan 2012 19:24:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[My Projects]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Ok, I have bought cars #2 and #3, Toyotas of year 2000 and 2001.  Thought I might as well try to get a few ones in before the import restrictions take effect. It&#8217;s a bit of a gamble, but in a worst case scenario the import restrictions takes effect while the cars are en route, [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=hotelivory.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12051637&amp;post=2806&amp;subd=hotelivory&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ok, I have bought cars #2 and #3, Toyotas of year 2000 and 2001.  Thought I might as well try to get a few ones in before the import restrictions take effect.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s a bit of a gamble, but in a worst case scenario the import restrictions takes effect while the cars are en route, and they get blocked at port.  In that case I&#8217;ll lose the purchase amount and the transport, which would suck, but I think it&#8217;s worth the risk.</p>
<p>In Senegal when they introduced similar restrictions and too old cars arrived, I think the owner was asked for a very high penalty fee, and if it wasn&#8217;t paid, the car would be auctioned off.  In Senegal though, there was over a year from the announcement of the restrictions to them taking effect.  Ivorian authorities are likely to move quicker.</p>
<div id="attachment_2807" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 368px"><a href="http://hotelivory.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/2000-toyota-corolla.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-2807" title="2000-TOYOTA-COROLLA" src="http://hotelivory.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/2000-toyota-corolla.jpg?w=500" alt=""   /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Car #3</p></div>
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			<media:title type="html">2000-TOYOTA-COROLLA</media:title>
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		<title>Import limits on used cars</title>
		<link>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/15/import-limits-on-used-cars/</link>
		<comments>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/15/import-limits-on-used-cars/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Jan 2012 19:29:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Ivory Coast and Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Business Environment]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m saying it again: Come on Ouattara, don&#8217;t disappoint now! There&#8217;s been a lot of good news and propositions coming out of the Ivorian government, but think I&#8217;ve just found a bad one.  And it&#8217;s something that affects my business:  It seems the Ivorian government intends to introduce a ban on importing used cars older [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=hotelivory.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12051637&amp;post=2787&amp;subd=hotelivory&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>I&#8217;m saying it again: Come on Ouattara, don&#8217;t disappoint now!</strong></p>
<p>There&#8217;s been a lot of good news and propositions coming out of the Ivorian government, but think I&#8217;ve just found a bad one.  And it&#8217;s something that affects my business:  It seems the Ivorian government intends to introduce a ban on importing used cars older than a certain age.  The government seems to be aiming to set the limit to 5 years whereas the transport industry wants it raised to at least 10 years.</p>
<p>Quite a lot of West African countries have these kind of restrictions, from a quick surf I see:</p>
<p>Senegal &#8211; 5 years since 2003</p>
<p>Guinea &#8211; 5 years <a href="http://www.guinee58.com/index.php?option=com_content&amp;view=article&amp;id=4079:importation-des-vehicules-les-voitures-doccasions-de-plus-de-5-ans-interdites-en-guinee&amp;catid=34:politique&amp;Itemid=54">since 2011 </a></p>
<p>Ghana &#8211; No limit but penalty fees for cars older than 10 years (just like in the Ivory Coast right now)</p>
<p>Nigeria &#8211; 15 years (according to the <a href="http://www.customs.gov.ng/ProhibitionList/import.php">Import prohibition list</a> of the Nigeria customs) It seems that they started with a 5 year limit in 2001 and then progressively increased it.</p>
<p><strong>The case for a restriction</strong></p>
<p>The thinking behind these restrictions seems to be:</p>
<ul>
<li>National pride &#8211; not wanting their country to be a dumping ground for old cars from the developed world</li>
<li>Aesthetics &#8211; a wish to make their country look better with more new cars on the roads</li>
<li>Environment &#8211; old cars pollute more</li>
<li>Congestion &#8211; with less cars imported, congestion on the roads could be mitigated</li>
</ul>
<p>and maybe:</p>
<ul>
<li>Protectionism &#8211; even if there is no domestic car industry, the limit could be an attempt to promote one or at least promote domestic assembly of car parts</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>The case against</strong></p>
<p>And here&#8217;s why I still think these import restrictions don&#8217;t make much sense:</p>
<ul>
<li>Cars up to 5 years old are expensive &#8211; a vast majority of Ivorian citizens can not afford them. A small elite that can afford new cars (and don&#8217;t use taxis) won&#8217;t be affected, but transport costs for everybody else will increase, thus increasing poverty, and reducing mobility and business activity.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Public transport in Abidjan is very limited, and has to a large degree been replaced by Woro-Woros (Taxis taking multiple passengers on a hop-on hop-off basis along a set route).  With a 5 year limit, the return on importing a Woro-woro is so low that it doesn&#8217;t make economic sense to import cars to make Woro-Woros. So that would mean game over on expanding my taxi business in it&#8217;s current form. Also, transport costs would go up as the supply of Woro-Woros grind to a halt making basic transportation unaffordable for some Abidjan residents.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>But prices won&#8217;t go up so much so it makes sense to import 5 year old cars, due to the existing car park.  A limit actually causes old wrecks to be more valuable, so everybody will keep patching up the existing cars as long as possible. Contrary to the intention of the import restriction, the car park is likely to get older, nullifying any pride, aesthetic, or environmental benefits. You kind of get a Cuba situation (though Cuba happened to have quite beautiful cars prior to Castros revolution).</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>The elite that can afford new cars aren&#8217;t likely to buy many small Toyotas, so there won&#8217;t be a trickle down of cheaper cars suitable for taxi service.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>It will create incentives for smugglers and for corruption of custom officers.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Government revenue through import duties will go down  as fewer cars will be imported &#8211; and as mentioned in the <a href="http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2011/11/05/customs/">Customs</a> post import duties is a very important part of government revenue.  Admittedly though,  the Ivorian government is also proposing to reduce import duties which I think is a good thing, but does contributes to reduce revenue.</li>
</ul>
<p>All in all it&#8217;s a bit like a tax that &#8211; like all taxes &#8211; has a negative effect on people that pay it (in this case ordinary Ivorians paying for transport) but that instead of increasing revenue to the government does the opposite.  The only positive thing I can see is that it&#8217;s likely to mitigate the trend of increasing congestion in Abidjan a bit.</p>
<p>Senegal has had a strictly imposed 5 year limit for quite a while now. Here are some of the reactions to it I&#8217;ve picked up on Senegalese Internet forums:  [Sorry about the French, too tired to translate now]</p>
<blockquote><p>Voila un système qui en fait provoque le contraire de ce qui est prévu. Qui au Sénégal a les moyens de se payer une voiture de moins de 5 ans? Qui ? Une certaine élite voila. Donc le résultat est que en fait les propriétaires de vielles bagnoles continuent de les rafistoler étant donné qu&#8217;ils n&#8217;ont pas les moyens de s&#8217;en acheter une autre et c&#8217;est en fait cela qui contribue à donner cette image de parc automobile poubelle.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>Avec cette loi, la moindre poubelle vaut une fortune. Le Sénégal est le  pays d&#8217;Afrique de l&#8217;ouest où le parc auto est en aussi mauvais état</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>la seule motivation etait que Wade veut prèserver ses actions et celles de sa famille dans l&#8217;usine de montage à thies vos appreciations sont fausses vous confondez le confort de vos gros cylindre avec les vèhicules morgue roulante sur nos routes.le renouvellement de notre parc automobile se fait à deux niveaux, les riches et voleurs, ils n&#8217;ont pas de problème car l&#8217;augmentation des voitures neuves ne concerne que la minoritè riche de la societè mais fait un tour dans nos garages et l&#8217;interieur ,tu te rendras compte qu&#8217;il y&#8217;a un apprauvissement de notre parc automobile</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>le renouvellemt de nos vehicules ne se fera jamais de l&#8217;interieur seulement 5% des senegalais ont les moyens de par leur revenus de se tapper un vèhicule neuf et autre echec les accidents deviennent de plus en plus cruels</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>vous parlez de cette mesure de limitation des voitures importèes, pour moi c&#8217;est une grande BETISE, le senegal ne fabrique pas voiture, et ces dernieres coutent maintenant tres chères là bas, essayez de prendre un taxi 90% des taxis,une fois dedans tu pries pour arriver chez toi sans problème</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Paved roads</title>
		<link>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/14/paved-roads/</link>
		<comments>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/14/paved-roads/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Jan 2012 17:14:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Business Environment]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Islands of paved roads One thing I noticed last time in Abidjan was that there are plenty of areas of the city that are like islands of paved roads that can&#8217;t be reached with paved roads. One would think that main connecting roads would be paved first, but what I think is happening is that [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=hotelivory.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12051637&amp;post=2779&amp;subd=hotelivory&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Islands of paved roads</strong></p>
<p>One thing I noticed last time in Abidjan was that there are plenty of areas of the city that are like islands of paved roads that can&#8217;t be reached with paved roads. One would think that main connecting roads would be paved first, but what I think is happening is that a private sector developer buys a specific area and builds both houses and roads there.  Then it is the government&#8217;s responsibility to sort out connecting roads, and well, the Ivorian government hasn&#8217;t been very good at that over the last ten years.</p>
<p>Paving roads should be in a government&#8217;s interest though, it not only makes life easier for citizens and reduces transport costs for the private sector, but is also apparently a key factor in people&#8217;s perception of government. Here are results from a <a href="http://merlin.fae.ua.es/climent/political_outcomes.pdf">Mexican study</a> I found via <a href="http://chrisblattman.com/2011/11/03/selfish-reasons-to-pave-more-roads/">chrisblattman.com</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Families living along streets that were treated with pavement were 0.304 points more satisfied with the local government than those in the control group (on a 4-point scale).</p>
<p>Satisfaction with the State and Federal government also increased significantly, by 0.168 and 0.140 points. In other words, the direct effect of the local policy is about twice as large as the indirect effects.</p>
<p>…the indirect effect does not occur along party lines, but reflects a generalized improved perception for all other branches of government.</p>
<p>Finally… the return for the implementing politician in terms of vote share is 7 percentage points (20% increase in share) if an unpaved electoral section gets fully paved under the politician’s watch.</p></blockquote>
<p>My Cocody house is actually in a paved road island area.  I was going there with some prospective tenants on a rough unpaved road and they asked if there was any other way to reach the house.  I had to tell them that yes, there are other paths, but unfortunately they aren&#8217;t paved either.</p>
<p><strong>Building roads and bridges</strong></p>
<p>On the other hand, the good news is that the Ouattara government is doing progress in paving and building roads. And when roads get paved real estate values increase.</p>
<div id="attachment_2782" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 510px"><a href="http://hotelivory.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/img_1127.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-2782" title="IMG_1127" src="http://hotelivory.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/img_1127.jpg?w=500&#038;h=375" alt="" width="500" height="375" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">An unpaved road in central Abidjan with a road-building machine on it</p></div>
<p>The worst thing with unpaved roads is when there are heavy rains &#8211; and that&#8217;s a frequent occurrence in Abidjan. Roads then often become impassable or force speeds  to be reduced to crawling, virtually shutting down whole sections of the city. Here&#8217;s how it looks, same street as above:</p>
<div id="attachment_2783" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 510px"><a href="http://hotelivory.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/img_1188.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-2783" title="IMG_1188" src="http://hotelivory.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/img_1188.jpg?w=500&#038;h=375" alt="" width="500" height="375" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">4x4s sell rather well in Abidjan</p></div>
<p>Speaking of infrastructure, I recently saw a video of the planned construction of the so called 3rd bridge of Abidjan crossing the lagoon, and the connecting highway ramp/roundabout at Riviera II.  I hadn&#8217;t quite realised how long the bridge would be &#8211; 2 km, and over three times the length of any of the existing bridges.   The thing with the bridge project is that it was planned something like 15 years ago, but then nothing happened.  One of Gbagbo&#8217;s aides even built a house on the mouth of the bridge. Now the house has to be demolished and there is a bit of of brouhaha over that.</p>
<p>Anyhow, here&#8217;s the video:</p>
<span style="text-align:center; display: block;"><a href="http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/14/paved-roads/"><img src="http://img.youtube.com/vi/y5Yg6C2pYcg/2.jpg" alt="" /></a></span>
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		<title>Sensing a new trend</title>
		<link>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/09/sensing-a-new-trend/</link>
		<comments>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/09/sensing-a-new-trend/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Jan 2012 09:32:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Ivory Coast and Africa]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/?p=2766</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Oui, on va rentrer In the last six months when talking to Ivorians and Africans in general living in Europe, it seems like everybody is seriously planning on returning to Africa for good.  Two or three years ago I didn&#8217;t at all hear the same talk, so it looks like a new trend. And it [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=hotelivory.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12051637&amp;post=2766&amp;subd=hotelivory&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Oui, on va rentrer</strong></p>
<p>In the last six months when talking to Ivorians and Africans in general living in Europe, it seems like everybody is seriously planning on returning to Africa for good.  Two or three years ago I didn&#8217;t at all hear the same talk, so it looks like a new trend.</p>
<p>And it makes a lot of sense with a stagnating (at best) European economy and many African economies doing better than at any time since independence.  Also, if you are reasonably well off, there are plenty of business opportunities as well as advantages in terms of lifestyle (weather, childcare, affordability of maids etc) when living in Africa. On top of that I think issues such as hidden xenophobia and a sense of feeling snubbed contribute to incentives to moving to Africa.</p>
<p>What&#8217;s surprised me recently is hearing several Ivorians living in Europe for over 10 years, with good jobs, children growing up in Europe, and European passports, having moved to Abidjan or saying they are planning a permanent move. One said he was happy to switch from going up early to go to work in the cold and rain, to having his own business and own office in Abidjan.</p>
<p><strong>Temporary Migration</strong></p>
<p>All of this doesn&#8217;t mean less people will want to emigrate out of Africa though.  With Africa getting wealthier, I believe emigration will actually increase as the effect of more people having the means to emigrate is greater than the effect of increased number of people wealthy enough not to have economic incentives to emigrate.  Difference in average living standards between a growing Africa and a stagnating developed world will still be large enough to push migration for quite some time. (Though more Africans may choose to go to Asia instead of Europe in the future.)</p>
<p>What&#8217;s happening is that migration is temporary and circular. Philippe Legrain explains it well in an Economist article entitled <a href="http://www.economist.com/node/21526777">Moving out, on and back</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>“Circular” migration, in which people come and go between destinations, is on the rise, as is “on-migration”, where a migrant moves first from China to Canada, say, and then on to America. OECD researchers reckon that at least 19% of migrants who arrived in America at the turn of the millennium had left for other destinations five years later. On-migration is also common among migrants from Africa and Asia. Europeans, for their part, tend to live abroad for only a limited time.</p>
<p>“The notion that migration is a one-way movement of permanent settlement is outdated. Most of it is temporary—and it’s time the debate about immigration recognised this reality,” argues Philippe Legrain, an analyst of immigration and the author of “Aftershock”, a recent book analysing economic changes in the wake of the financial crash.</p>
<p>Far from disappearing in the wake of the crash, Ms Sumption says, migration is still “a sensible long-term investment for many people.” Although hard times may change migrants’ destinations, they do not sap the will to move in search of a better life. This is good news: migrants did not contribute to the economic crisis, and they may yet help to overcome it.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Catching the Entrepreneurship bug</title>
		<link>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/08/catching-the-entrepreneurship-bug/</link>
		<comments>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/08/catching-the-entrepreneurship-bug/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Jan 2012 14:47:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Entrepreneurship]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lifehacking]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/?p=2754</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Last Friday I got several month&#8217;s advance rent plus deposit from the new tenant moving in to the Cocody house. It&#8217;s the best single day positive cashflow since I started the business, and quite a great feeling &#8211; very different from receiving a salary. I think it&#8217;s because the cashflow comes from pursuing one&#8217;s own [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=hotelivory.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12051637&amp;post=2754&amp;subd=hotelivory&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last Friday I got several month&#8217;s advance rent plus deposit from the new tenant moving in to the Cocody house. It&#8217;s the best single day positive cashflow since I started the business, and quite a great feeling &#8211; very different from receiving a salary.</p>
<p>I think it&#8217;s because the cashflow comes from pursuing one&#8217;s own independent idea/dream and building something from scratch, instead contributing to someone else&#8217;s agenda. It&#8217;s kind of like a waking up moment, seeing that it&#8217;s possible to opt out from a day-job at a big company and a life with terms to a great extent dictated by someone else,  and that opportunities and possibilities are pretty great.</p>
<p>Guess I&#8217;ve caught the entrepreneurship bug or something. As usual Steve Jobs expresses the whole thing very well, this time in a 46 second long video:</p>
<span style="text-align:center; display: block;"><a href="http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/08/catching-the-entrepreneurship-bug/"><img src="http://img.youtube.com/vi/UvEiSa6_EPA/2.jpg" alt="" /></a></span>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<blockquote><p>When you grow up you tend to get told the world is the way it is and you&#8217;re life is just to live your life inside the world. Try not to bash into the walls too much. Try to have a nice family, have fun, save a little money.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s a very limited life. Life can be much broader once you discover one simple fact: Everything around you that you call life was made up by people that were no smarter than you and you can change it, you can influence it, you can build your own things that other people can use.</p>
<p>Once you learn that, you&#8217;ll never be the same again.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Our current release schedule does not include the Ivory Coast</title>
		<link>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/03/our-current-release-schedule-does-not-include-the-ivory-coast/</link>
		<comments>http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2012/01/03/our-current-release-schedule-does-not-include-the-ivory-coast/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Jan 2012 20:19:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Ivory Coast and Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Business Environment]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/?p=2749</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A typical release is planned many months in advance,  and regrettably, your planet is one of those scheduled for demolition On the online banking website of the bank where Im a customer, you can send money to Burkina Faso, Togo and even to &#8220;US Minor Outlaying Islands&#8221; which according to Wikipedia have no permanent residents. However, [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=hotelivory.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12051637&amp;post=2749&amp;subd=hotelivory&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>A typical release is planned many months in advance,  and regrettably, your planet is one of those scheduled for demolition</strong></p>
<p>On the online banking website of the bank where Im a customer, you can send money to Burkina Faso, Togo and even to &#8220;US Minor Outlaying Islands&#8221; which according to <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Minor_Outlying_Islands">Wikipedia</a> have no permanent residents. However, you cannot send money to the Ivory Coast.</p>
<p>In March 2010 I <a href="http://hotelivory.wordpress.com/2010/03/04/sanctions/">asked them about it</a> and got the following answer:</p>
<blockquote><p>Apologies for the delay in coming back to you on your query. I have investigated this with our International Payments area and have been advised that currently there are EU and US sanction in place against Ivory Coast. Until such time as these sanctions are relaxed there will be no option to make a payment to this country using Internet Banking.</p></blockquote>
<p>Since the sanctions are gone, but the Ivory Coast is still not on the drop down menu for international payments I emailed them last week and got the following response:</p>
<blockquote><p>Dear Martin,</p>
<p>Thank you for your email. I acknowledge that currently the Internet Banking website does not offer the International Payment facility to the Ivory Coast.</p>
<p>I assure you that we endeavour to meet the needs of our customers and continually benchmark our product offering against our competitors. We operate a scheduled release system for updating Internet Banking. A typical release is planned many months in advance, unfortunately our current release schedule does not include the addition of the Ivory Coast for International Payments.</p>
<p>However, thank you for your feedback. We have taken note of  your suggestion and will submit it for inclusion in our future Release Plans.</p></blockquote>
<p>Yup, that&#8217;s a lovely bureaucratic answer. My local bank is clearly not owned by Richard Branson, and  I can start seeing where Douglas Adams got inspiration for the Vogons in the Hitch Hiker&#8217;s Guide to the Galaxy:</p>
<blockquote><p>People of Earth, your attention, please. This is Prostetnic Vogon Jeltz of the Galactic Hyperspace Planning Council. As you will no doubt be aware, the plans for development of the outlying regions of the Galaxy require the building of a hyperspatial express route through your star system. And regrettably, your planet is one of those scheduled for demolition. The process will take slightly less than two of your Earth minutes. Thank you.</p>
<p>There’s no point in acting surprised about it. All the planning charts and demolition orders have been on display at your local planning department in Alpha Centauri for 50 of your Earth years, so you’ve had plenty of time to lodge any formal complaint and it’s far too late to start making a fuss about it now. … What do you mean you’ve never been to Alpha Centauri? Oh, for heaven’s sake, mankind, it’s only four light years away, you know. I’m sorry, but if you can’t be bothered to take an interest in local affairs, that’s your own lookout. Energize the demolition beams.</p></blockquote>
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